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6- 2008

Craig Russell

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. . .

:

  IMF, - GDP PPP ( ) US$6.9 US$7.05 2007.

  42 GDP. 70 GDP, .

  GDP US$5200 US$5400 . (: IMF)

 Q3 US$1.5 US$170 2008.

  US$2 , 20 .

, , . GDP 0.3 0.5 , .

, . 2007, 2007 17 2006, 16 2006 2005. GDP 9 . , «» GDP «». (PBoC) 9 , .

30 . , , .

. . - , ( ), .

. 29- , 0.27 15- . . repegging yuan, 6.84 yuan , 6 8 . .

, , 15 2007. US$300 US$400 .

, 0.6 0.9 GDP, US$50 , .

Craig Russell, , Saxo

, .

16 «: »

  1. :

    , - . 2 . -, , ( ), - tight-fisted . -, , ?

    -

  2. :

    , , WW , , .

    ( ), , G8.

  3. J-P THIEBLOT :

    Craig,

    stat , 42 GDP, 2007 17 2006, 16 2006 2005.

    e: jpthieblot@zba.ca

    !

    J-P T

  4. Zhao :

    Hradly ( ) .
    , eyeing .
    , . .

  5. :

    . . . . « » . $1-$2 $14 . GDP 5% . . S and L 1989 . 6.5% GDP. 3% .

    - - $145 « ». $60.

    , .

    . , .

    , fo . , .

    Yuan.

  6. :

    :

    , .

  7. - Margarita :

    . th .

  8. :

    Margarita - . GDP . , IMF 2009, , 5.1% 2009. 6.1% IMF . . 4 .

    IMF 2.2% 2009, 3% . , 3% .

    - - 2 GDP GDP , , (non-farm ), , -, , . . ;)

    . , cleantech etc.


    PS. .

  9. KangFu :

    Craig, , , :

    1. PPP- GDP nominal ? - Mac - , . GDP $3.3 2007, 6% .

    2. 42% GDP 70% . , , gov. (.. % = GDP/( GDP- gov.)). , , % , . .

    3. $300-400 . GDP $50 . : $3.3 tr. GDP * 42% * 15% = 200 . , 400 , .. 10% GPD (.. spending+gov. spending+investment+net ).

  10. :

    GDP 9.3% 8.5%. 7%. . 8% . - .

  11. Cheng Hing Nan :

    . . , economy/GDP , .

    70% . «». morgaged ( ) .

    , stablize . , 100 RMB .

    ( ), .

    2009. .

  12. :

    .
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7719042.stm

  13. Cheng Hing Nan :

    Yap, , . .

  14. Ruud :

    , , , :

    , . . «», .

    , , . , , , 8% .

    . , , . «» unpreceded «positiveness» , etc etc. « » , thoughs .

    , . ? . . Cinese, , / .

    .

  15. Alain :

    ?
    . , , temporary ` .
    readapt , , ...... .

  16. Kee :

    , .

    infracture, , , etc. .

    . , , , non- .

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