Sagging Markets? Look To China
Wealthy Chinese consumers are ripe for the pitching, but approach with caution
By Dan Mintz
This article was originally published on the website of Adweek.
If your to-do list right now focuses on reducing budgets and cutting back marketing expenditures, then you probably need some good news.
Concerns about the downturn in the U.S. economy mean that global brands have to look elsewhere for growth. The welcome news is that China is now ready to provide an alternative motor to the global economy.
If I were a CMO looking at static or declining sales in my traditional markets, I’d want a piece of China. A key section of this market now has enough wealth to consume products made there and abroad. Economic growth was 11 percent in 2007 — the fastest rate in 13 years. And the Beijing Olympics in August will add another feather in the cap of the world’s biggest economic success story.
Many brands are already taking action, and ad spend has soared by 20 percent each of the last three years. We’ve been working with Volkswagen since 2001, and China is now its biggest global market, with 1 million units expected to sell this year.
China, however, is not just another market. You need to approach it with care and reverence for its traditions, and an understanding of the right way to speak to newly empowered consumers. The Chinese take their culture seriously, and things that have no consequence in the West may have deep significance here. You may find that you need a shifu, or teacher, but here are a few early lessons to consider before attempting to conquer this market.
Don’t target a billion people. China may have more than 1.3 billion citizens, but not all of them are in the market for Western goods. Yes, disposable income is increasing, with top wage earners in Beijing earning on average $12,500 a year, but the “middle classes” average just $7,000 a year. That’s not much by Western standards, but in a low-cost market it’s an impressive amount of spending power.
Forget traditional statistical analysis. The analytics developed in Europe and the U.S. won’t give you the whole picture. China may seem fairly homogeneous: The vast bulk of the population comes from a single ethnic group, the Han Chinese. But the more you look at this vast country, the more complex it becomes. Do you break it down by north versus south, urban versus rural, first-tier cities versus second-tier cities, rice versus noodles? The answer is all of the above, but more importantly you have to target culturally. You can’t talk to someone in Chongqing like someone in Shanghai.
Cultural ties run deep. Ancient traditions remain an influence, even if today’s consumers can’t articulate their impact on their decision-making processes. This means that messages have to be culturally as well as strategically right. For example, when it launched in China, Fruit of the Loom selected a mango, coconut and orange as more culturally relevant symbols to complement apples and grapes in its logo.
Nike used the historical fact that old Beijing city used to be guarded by nine gates as the theme behind a three-on-three basketball-influenced campaign called Battle of the Nine Gates, which included a tournament and an experiential event. More than 6,000 kids competed within their neighborhoods for the right to represent their gate in a final held in the heart of the Forbidden City, where pop culture met ancient history in a fusion of posters, Nine Gates newspapers and street teams.
Traditions impact purchasing patterns. Image has always been important in Chinese society. As soon as they can afford it, consumers select the kind of car that will send out a strong status message to friends, family and business contacts. Different car models carry different messages than in the West. For example, Audis are the transport of Chinese officials. So if that’s the image or “face” you want to portray, get yourself an Audi.
Louis Vuitton, which opened its first Chinese store in 1992, is doing well for much the same reason. Now Fendi is about to launch, taking advantage of the fact that 15 percent of the population — more than 160 million — are now active consumers of luxury brands.
But don’t think these consumers will flash their cash. They may drive a VW, but they will still scrutinize the price of a bottle of shampoo.
Be prepared for things to change fast. This traditional market moves quickly. People who lived through the Industrial Revolution in the West probably saw a tenfold improvement in their standard of living. For many of today’s Chinese the rate of change has been far greater than that. In fact, every year in China is probably worth three in the West.
The way that information travels is also different. Although the government tightly controls TV and print, the Internet adds a different dimension to the mix, opening up new information for consumers. It offers a powerful means of expression — one in 30 Chinese people blog — and this is a great place to research what people really think.
Let’s take the Olympics as an example. When the official mascots were unveiled in 2005, traditional media praised the cartoon characters while bloggers were more critical, and more in tune with real public opinion. (By the way, MySpace, YouTube and Google count for nothing compared to homegrown sites such as Baidu, QQ, Sina, Sohu and NetEase.)
The learning curve is steep, but you can no longer ignore China. And with Western markets facing tough times, success in this market could help deliver a profitable 2008. Welcome to China.
Dan Mintz, founder and CCO of DMG.















August 27th, 2008 at 5:39 pm
Very true, author seems to be very experienced in China
August 29th, 2008 at 5:45 pm
Dan ( sagging Markets look to china)
I agree with you partially, when the markets sag in the USA many people are looking for the traditional way of doing business. The people who look for a home business come out strong depending on the company. There are several companies doing business in China that were orginiated elsewhere. There is another company opening up in China and I feel this one people will swarm to with open arms, because it is a 52 year old company who does the R&D and stands behind the products 100%.
August 29th, 2008 at 10:20 pm
Should publish your article on more Western newspaper/media. :-)
If Western companies do not take action NOW, Chinese companies will go global, to their backyards, in the near future…
August 30th, 2008 at 3:17 am
Hi Dan:
Patrick Karle here. I am in the US right now, waiting for my next China assignment to start. I have three years China experience, living in some very interesting places and, like every other foreigner I know, enjoying what I think is a fairly unique experience with the Chinese.
I am considered a very knowledgeable guy on Chinese culture, language and comminication.
You are also obviously very knowledgeable, so I wanted to ask you why the American media keeps telling us China is hot and China is the place.
Yet, I have found in talking with a lot of people around American, that Americans seem extremely lukewarm about China, despite the Beijing Olympics, and a major portion of people I talk with seem either ignorant or hostile or both.
Writers always saying that major companies are looking for “boots on the ground,” college administrators are saying all the jobs for today’s grads will be in China. As Tom Friedman said in his recent NYT op-ed piece, China is so far ahead of the US in infrastructure and technology we should start teaching our children Mandarin immediately.
On the other hand, if I ask if anyone needs a hand in China, or is looking to outsource, the answer is invaribly “no.”
Where’s the disconnect?
August 30th, 2008 at 5:03 am
Sorry, when was this article originally published? 1998?
If the article is recent, Dan, your comments are very true and mostly accurate (apart from Fendi opening up — they have stores in remote a city as Shenyang — and please correct the growth rate with the inflation in 2007. Current inflation is 8%).
However for manager of an ad agency in China for 13 years, I’m amazed at how you craft a story based on open doors and old news.
I just wonder who your audience is and how come they would consider going into China without having read one of the many good books, business cases or interviews with execs.
I doubt if there is a single CMO (which I assume is a position which only exists in larger companies) which has not already thought seriously about the potential of China as a market – the question I hear most often from multinational is how to successfully address the “mainstream” market dominated by local competitors.
It’s not my intent to be negative and I’m sure that your knowhow of China is extensive, but in this forum I’m hoping to get more informative articles than these, which in my view is the business equivalent of teaching people “ni hao” in a Chinese language class.
September 2nd, 2008 at 5:07 pm
The one thing, China will not lose are its traditions. China can end up melting close to London, NYC, Hong Kong on food, consumer habits, but will not be as open as other countries.
It is a fact that as long as Chinese economy keeps rising, the fever for luxury brands will keep growing. But be cautious, not all the “potential buyers” of luxury goods will get trapped into the american consumism life style
September 8th, 2008 at 1:28 am
Volkswagen? Poor example.
They were the first foreign joint venture care manufacturer in China in the 1980s. They started off with a model, that was a complete flop elsewhere in the Volkswagen world. VW have battled enormous, expensive problems in order to get going, only to see the entry of their competitors into the market, using the road that VW had paved.
VW’s market share has dropped consistently over many years. VW face cut-throat competition from local manufacturers and even their own joint venture partners.
IMHO, China being detached from the U.S. or E.U. economies is a myth. If the U.S. or Europe catch a cold, China is getting pneumonia.